No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $482.08
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$96.59
Polymarket Trader
ramansme
0x82f3acbf25fb19896771444a4da03da28fd511d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.88K
- Realized PnL
- $1.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $580.7
- Potential payout
- $695.45
- Potential profit
- $114.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $78.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.54
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $373.48
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340.83
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.23
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.54
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 78.4% 1,785.49 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 1,424.3 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 72.9% 1,424.3 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 1,153.49 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 69% 1,153.49 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 99.5% 799.91 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 75.1% 799.91 shares
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No 72.2% 695.45 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 83.3% 600.37 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes 66% 1,002.42 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 86% 769.23 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 13% 769.23 shares