Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $53.33
- Potential profit
- $49.87
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$4.53
Polymarket Trader
0x8307ca43DB5A37E838692d35E08CaF92f4fb00b1-1770551512940
0x8307ca43db5a37e838692d35e08caf92f4fb00b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.23
- Realized PnL
- $3.57
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $5.32
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?Yes 80% 12.98 shares
- Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?Yes 87% 12.99 shares
- Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?No 97.7% 11.3 shares
- Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?Yes 73.6% 15 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 72% 5.32 shares
- Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?Yes 60% 15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 53.33 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 46.5% 17.8 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 57% 11.79 shares
- Will Sean Combs be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No 87% 3.45 shares
- Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No 64% 10 shares