No position
U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- User PnL
- -$25.58
Polymarket Trader
toniel756
0x830b99b1f5754a554feced07281998bbb2930a93
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $177.59
- Realized PnL
- $4.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$158.77
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $177.59
- Potential payout
- $755.7
- Potential profit
- $578.11
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $74.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.87
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $511.77
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $478.43
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.65
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $263.64
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.33
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.54
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $201.43
Yes position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.56
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.61
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $162.64
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.92
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $137.74
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.23
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $118.49
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.32
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.14
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.2
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.93
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.46
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.96
No position
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $74.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes 36.4% 200 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 66.3% 1,615.55 shares
- Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes 61.2% 515.55 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 16.6% 2,197.08 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 2.9% 41.2 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 3% 510.88 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 3.5% 510.88 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.5% 268.48 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.8% 268.48 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 43.9% 310 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No 45% 1,387.11 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?Down 14% 455.71 shares