Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.09K
- Potential profit
- $25.09K
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
Polymarket Trader
LowValue
0x83298506b54c267f2fcf9ed1e85a26f4099496c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $645.13
- Realized PnL
- $15.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$794.65
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.4K
- Potential profit
- $22.4K
- User PnL
- -$3.13K
Yes position
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.93K
- Potential profit
- $13.93K
- User PnL
- -$748.18
No position
Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$14.97
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.19K
- Potential profit
- $9.19K
- User PnL
- -$551.18
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$36.8
Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.97K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- User PnL
- -$971.6
Yes position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $26.43
- Potential payout
- $3.11K
- Potential profit
- $3.08K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$10.88
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$133.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $250
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.75K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
ETH flipped in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$510.99
Yes position
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$236.95
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$206.5
Yes position
Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$19.42
No position
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$598.29
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$700
No position
Will Hyperliquid's HIP-3 upgrade go live on mainnet by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $682.97
- Potential profit
- $682.97
- User PnL
- -$73.29
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $35.7
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $464.3
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $184.45
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $125.55
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $60.45
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $292.95
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $107.5
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $142.5
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
No position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Trump position
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?
Ends Sep 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $654.36
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.95
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.12
Yes position
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.52
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.78
Kamala position
Who will win the debate according to polls?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.54
Yes position
Will SPD win the most votes in the 2024 Brandenburg election?
Ends Sep 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.56
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.22
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141
Yes position
54% tariff goes into effect on China by Wednesday?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.42
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.89
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.71
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Will Biden's 538 approval reach 43% in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 11% 2,000 shares
- Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 10,000 shares
- Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.7% 10,000 shares
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.8% 10,000 shares
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.2% 3,499.47 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 310 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 6% 3,000 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 10.5% 2,000 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 11% 2,000 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 31?No 99.9% 4,061.13 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes 2.1% 640.12 shares
- Lighter Airdrop on December 31?No 98.2% 120 shares