Polymarket Trader

EscapeVelocity

0x832bce13fa76d504c2b747587c274c996b423ae1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.52K
Realized PnL: $23.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $389.48
Potential payout: $8.85K
Potential profit: $8.46K
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$14.18

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$623.99

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $478.22
Potential payout: $6.38K
Potential profit: $5.9K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $51.78

Yes position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $125

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $374.99
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.62K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$75

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $3.97K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: $378

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$7.5

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $87
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $65

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.73K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $270
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $509

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $190
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$221.99

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $14.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $373.58

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $925.27
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $75.02
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $55.6

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $875
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $125
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $993
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: $43

Yes position

Will a candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election in the first round?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will another pair of candidates advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.98
Potential profit: $999.98
User PnL: -$200

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $986.5
Potential profit: $986.5
User PnL: -$73.42

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$675

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$349

Yes position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $457.58
Potential payout: $732.12
Potential profit: $274.55
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $26.54

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$323

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $595.21
Potential payout: $657.69
Potential profit: $62.48
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $108.52

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $600.04
Potential profit: $599.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$299.72

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $882

No position

Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $875.96

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870.9

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $848.37

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $794

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $765.62

No position

Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.67

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $718

No position

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $700.13

No position

Will Trump say "Emergency" during his announcement on September 2?

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $699.14

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.7

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.01

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.99

No position

Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $558.18

No position

Solana above $145 on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539

Gen.G position

MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. T1

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 23% 3,000 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 43% 500 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 83% 171.3 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 4,999.96 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 51% 5 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.4% 500 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.4% 412.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 96.5% 920.68 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Yes 73.9% 600 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 54% 499.99 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.2% 1,000 shares
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner

T1 40% 300 shares