Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.89K
- Potential profit
- $9.89K
- User PnL
- -$1.59K
Polymarket Trader
0x832D27C7C3e22a1A806B889cedE0Ad63ff42B47D-1729185243136
0x832d27c7c3e22a1a806b889cede0ad63ff42b47d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $142.98
- Realized PnL
- $181.15
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $98.4
- Potential payout
- $641.03
- Potential profit
- $542.63
- Multiplier
- 6.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $338.6
- Potential profit
- $338.6
- User PnL
- -$79.08
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $282.87
- Potential profit
- $282.87
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $264.93
- Potential profit
- $264
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.07
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.33
- Potential profit
- $182.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.16
- Potential profit
- $127.16
- User PnL
- -$15
Y
Yes position
Tunisia vs. Japan: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $114.94
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.26
- Potential profit
- $109.26
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $82.75
- Potential profit
- $78.07
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.06
- Potential payout
- $67.5
- Potential profit
- $62.44
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.78
- Potential payout
- $63.75
- Potential profit
- $58.97
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $57.81
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Y
Yes position
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $52.22
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.61
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $51.94
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.78
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Japan position
Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?Yes 2.8% 357.14 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 28, 2026?No 9.5% 52.73 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 27, 2026?No 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?No 7.4% 67.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?No 7.8% 63.75 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 24, 2026?No 8% 62.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?No 6% 82.75 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?No 9% 55.56 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 10% 50.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares