martofia

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.86
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $711.43
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$2.14

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $426.94
Potential profit: $425.23
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$18.28

Yes position

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.08
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.46
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$4.04

Yes position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.18
Potential profit: $69.18
User PnL: -$5

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.61
Potential profit: $51.61
User PnL: -$8

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.63
Potential profit: $50.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $27
Potential payout: $46.59
Potential profit: $19.59
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $45.66
Potential profit: $43.95
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$8.29

Morocco position

France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.89
Potential profit: $32.89
User PnL: -$5

Over position

France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.7
Potential profit: $29.7
User PnL: -$15

Boston Red Sox position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $15.14
Potential payout: $27.27
Potential profit: $12.14
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.14

Over position

Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $26.2
User PnL: -$15

Tampa Bay Rays position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $9.27
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $11.56
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$0.73

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Jessica Pegula position

Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.38
Potential payout: $16.03
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $10.82
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $13.71
Potential payout: $13.73
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.33
Potential profit: $12.33
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Max Holloway position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.7

Switzerland position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Under position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.9

Under position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

Novak Djokovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Anastasiya Sobolieva position

ITF Aschaffenburg: Anastasiya Sobolieva vs Julia Avdeeva

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

No position

Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

England position

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.11

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.77

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)