Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $16.24
- Potential payout
- $328.08
- Potential profit
- $311.84
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Polymarket Trader
Axl83
0x83477841a887ca12dc4471081ca5c97c4b483531
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.24
- Realized PnL
- $29.43
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.29
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.46
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Northern Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Yes 2.2% 64.28 shares
- Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Yes 7% 14.29 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 32% 15.63 shares
- Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes 1.2% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 91% 1.11 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No 77.8% 10 shares
- Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?Yes 14% 2.14 shares
- JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?No 29.9% 16.75 shares
- Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?Yes 19% 5.88 shares
- Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 29% 3.45 shares