Polymarket Trader

llh

0x834965f34911dfda31d5b313b5def15e6348c99d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $469.41K
Realized PnL: $19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $339.92K
Potential payout: $362.78K
Potential profit: $22.86K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $109.56K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $39.81K
Potential payout: $43.99K
Potential profit: $4.18K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.16K

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $23.52K
Potential payout: $24.17K
Potential profit: $640.38
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $20.93K
Potential payout: $21.06K
Potential profit: $136.92
User PnL: $31.6

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $19.26K
Potential payout: $19.35K
Potential profit: $87.05
User PnL: $7.43K

No position

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $14.54K
Potential payout: $14.59K
Potential profit: $51.08
User PnL: $269.99

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $4.6K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $402.81
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$37.52

No position

Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.23K
Potential payout: $4.24K
Potential profit: $14.85
User PnL: $74.25

No position

US x China Military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $2.06K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $166.65
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $11.11

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$378

No position

Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $538.22
Potential payout: $542.01
Potential profit: $3.79
User PnL: $5.42

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$100

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $116.28
User PnL: -$50

MOUZ position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$51

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.7
Potential profit: $63.7
User PnL: -$55.42

MOUZ position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$25.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.99

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.7

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.61

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.43

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.69

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.17

No position

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.57

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Aurora position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

No position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.2

No position

US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.13

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 99.2% 21,064.18 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.4% 4,880.64 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 6.3% 1,795.37 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.6% 88,118.19 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 94.3% 10,996.5 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.4% 1,253.97 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.4% 8,746.03 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

No 95% 11,111 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 99.9% 33,002.23 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 99.9% 110,607.5 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

PARIVISION 87% 63.7 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?

No 99.2% 32.79 shares