Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Polymarket Trader
Riki-Sorsan-Veli
0x834bce6aa8b40c4915d9a6e4722d140709ee089a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.43K
- Realized PnL
- $1.66K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.99K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2.5
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $10.44
- User PnL
- $101.39
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $949.19
- Potential payout
- $991.32
- Potential profit
- $42.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $94.19
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $804.07
- Potential profit
- $804.07
- User PnL
- -$509.99
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $536.09
- Potential profit
- $536.09
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $15.25
- Potential payout
- $499.89
- Potential profit
- $484.64
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $2.75
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $391.3
- Potential payout
- $394.65
- Potential profit
- $3.35
- User PnL
- $31.3
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $10.45
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $292.58
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $109.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $190.5
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $222.68
- Potential payout
- $225.73
- Potential profit
- $3.05
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $22.68
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $197.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $199.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.61
- Potential profit
- $182.61
- User PnL
- -$130
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $162.36
- Potential profit
- $162.36
- User PnL
- -$137
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $140.25
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$83
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.54
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.46
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $147.21
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.05
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.24
Finland position
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.08
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.01
Yes position
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.98
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.75
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.48
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.69
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.01
No position
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.8% 313.15 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 37% 300 shares
- Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?No 98.9% 28.2 shares
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by June 30, 2026?No 94% 8.55 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 72.1% 48.55 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.3% 303.03 shares
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 2,000 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?No 40% 25 shares
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No 95.9% 200 shares