Polymarket Trader

0x834Ce6613649DfC2de3083F360582fBf0849F985-1764460845244

0x834ce6613649dfc2de3083f360582fbf0849f985

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.29
Realized PnL: $7.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.85
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.9
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.63
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.55
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.58
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.7
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.28
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $49.91
Potential profit: $49.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $36.5
Potential profit: $36.15
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $30.35
Potential profit: $30.15
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $22.61
Potential profit: $22.43
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $19.72
Potential profit: $19.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.77
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.46
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $10.05
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $9.97
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

No 99.9% 5 shares