Polymarket Trader

guguaka

0x835a4b1b22af050eabd7008897d64f14391f530a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.47K
Realized PnL: $3.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.58K
Potential profit: $64.58K
User PnL: -$10K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $14.02K
Potential profit: $12.1K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$386.6

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $360.29
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$139.7

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $1.47K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$17.24

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45K
Potential profit: $3.45K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.08K
Potential profit: $3.08K
User PnL: -$2K

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$868

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $213.41
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $6.1

China position

AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $708.72
Potential profit: $708.72
User PnL: -$184.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$15.6

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $444.53
Potential profit: $443.87
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$99.33

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380.28
Potential profit: $380.28
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.45
Potential profit: $361.45
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $87.36
Potential payout: $342.6
Potential profit: $255.24
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$12.64

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $123.11
Potential payout: $329.61
Potential profit: $206.5
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $23.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $328.78
Potential profit: $328.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$207

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.09

Yes position

Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $905.57

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672

Yes position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.96

Heat position

Heat vs. 76ers

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Panthers position

Panthers vs. Sabres

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Top Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.41

Cavaliers position

Bucks vs. Cavaliers

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.57

Raptors position

Nets vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

Team Tea position

Dota 2: Team Tea vs 4Pirates (BO3)

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Thunder position

Trail Blazers vs. Thunder

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Clippers position

Clippers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Suns position

Suns vs. Nets

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Letitia James be charged with a crime by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

US government shutdown in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.8%
Multiplier: 2.65x
User PnL: $0.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 58% 3,448.28 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 4,918.03 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 48% 2,154.17 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 99.9% 3,255.55 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 76% 4,342.11 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 63% 3,255.56 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 71% 422.54 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 41% 731.71 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 58% 1,496.55 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 194.81 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Portugal 54% 1,607.41 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 68% 1,008.82 shares