No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $594.2
- Potential payout
- $609.44
- Potential profit
- $15.24
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Polymarket Trader
jasfon
0x83603e67550b0f879bc2bf1e6e0f19632b9fd691
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.18K
- Realized PnL
- $265.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $311.76
- Potential payout
- $315.55
- Potential profit
- $3.79
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $271.65
- Potential payout
- $277.9
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.15
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.53
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $12.43
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.07
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.05
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.15
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.07
No position
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5.93
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $122k November 3-9?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
Will the price of Solana be between $220 and $230 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 97.7% 609.44 shares
- Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 1 Argentina?No 98.8% 589 shares
- Trump out as President by July 31?No 99.1% 315.55 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 97.4% 277.9 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 98.7% 271 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 280 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 903 shares
- Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No 93% 116.84 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99% 786 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No 99.9% 356.94 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?No 99.8% 531.79 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?No 99.7% 356.94 shares