Polymarket Trader

mp333

0x8364624bfea5eff8e82f783955256688e989857c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.07
Realized PnL: $165.78
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $922.44
Potential profit: $922.44
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $492.25
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $14.32
Potential payout: $68.04
Potential profit: $53.71
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: $4.32

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.35
Potential profit: $62.35
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.25
Potential profit: $59.25
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.03
Potential profit: $52.03
User PnL: -$20

Maja Chwalinska position

Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.31
Potential profit: $42.31
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.75
Potential profit: $37.75
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.03
Potential profit: $29.03
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jakub Mensik position

Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.57

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

Maja Chwalinska position

Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $4.31

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: $3.91

No position

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $3.86

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Grok 4.4 released by July 31?

Yes 73% 14.28 shares
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?

Yes 25% 20 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 26% 38.46 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 5.6% 89.29 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 37% 27.03 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 61% 49.18 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 40% 25 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares