Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Polymarket Trader
guillermo827persephone
0x836f5026443286112d0eb59645c03e12be1fd2bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $9.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Remco Evenepoel win the Tour de France 2025?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 36% 65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 34% 4.46 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 53% 6 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.7% 13 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 13 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 37 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 81 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 33 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 33 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 10% 32 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 81% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 17% 64 shares