Vault33

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $248.2
Potential payout: $729.99
Potential profit: $481.8
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$112.6

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 65.1%
Current value: $330.3
Potential payout: $507.77
Potential profit: $177.47
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $6.85

Elisha Ellison position

UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $43.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $14.35
Potential payout: $31.54
Potential profit: $17.19
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $7.83

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.11
Potential payout: $28.12
Potential profit: $26.01
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.95

Cody Garbrandt position

UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Kai Kamaka III position

UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Cody Durden position

UFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$5

Cesar Almeida position

UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$5

Nikita Krylov position

UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Zachary Reese position

UFC 329: Zachary Reese vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.67
Potential profit: $11.67
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.01
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $4.79
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $4.5
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.25

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.59

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.39

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-7.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.78

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Brandon Royval position

UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.29

Yes position

Will Pengu flip Shiba Inu by December 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

King Green position

UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Paddy Pimblett position

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.59

No position

Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 76%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 70 ETH in 2025?