Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $126.22
- Potential payout
- $254.99
- Potential profit
- $128.77
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $26.22
Polymarket Trader
0x837F2A3AD9579D3D5f82C7634Bcf0A6583f25d77-1773649288891
0x837f2a3ad9579d3d5f82c7634bcf0a6583f25d77
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $284.95
- Realized PnL
- -$21.31
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $158.73
- Potential payout
- $162.6
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $58.73
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.18
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 10?Yes 39.2% 254.99 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes 61.5% 162.6 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 64.3% 67.71 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?No 70.6% 57.01 shares
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?No 87.7% 57.01 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 50.1% 39.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 216.86 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 50.3% 27.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 83% 216.87 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.9% 35.21 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 71% 35.21 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?No 84% 35.71 shares