Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the MI-09 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $109.87
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0
Polymarket Trader
Rasalgethi
@Madpeopleplease
0x83935deedd570251c7bc1cdf361dfc37a269f0ae
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.89K
- Realized PnL
- $17.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $603.26
- Potential payout
- $693.4
- Potential profit
- $90.14
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$29.67
Yes position
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $94.4
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $514.61
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $79.36
Yes position
Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $604.43
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.46
Yes position
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $10.96
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $598.04
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
Yes position
Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $4.57
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $604.43
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.46
Yes position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $603.82
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Yes position
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $143.11
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $465.89
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $128.08
Yes position
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $185.75
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $423.26
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $170.71
Yes position
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $21.92
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $587.08
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $604.74
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$10.77
Yes position
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $609
- Potential profit
- $605.04
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$11.07
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $508.2
- Potential payout
- $549.4
- Potential profit
- $41.2
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $29.89
- Potential payout
- $529
- Potential profit
- $499.11
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $16.84
Yes position
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $423.95
- Potential payout
- $451.01
- Potential profit
- $27.06
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $404.34
Yes position
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $19.77
- Potential payout
- $416.23
- Potential profit
- $396.46
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $396.27
- Potential profit
- $390.52
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$14.07
No position
Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $257.56
- Potential payout
- $291.03
- Potential profit
- $33.47
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $206.58
- Potential profit
- $205.75
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $147.84
- Potential payout
- $192
- Potential profit
- $44.16
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $16.69
- Potential payout
- $133.49
- Potential profit
- $116.8
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$86.1
No position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $107.09
- Potential payout
- $123.8
- Potential profit
- $16.71
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $29.09
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $62.83
- Potential payout
- $122
- Potential profit
- $59.17
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$31.11
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $119.56
- Potential payout
- $120.4
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- User PnL
- $13.61
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $995.61
Harris position
Who will win Kent county?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $969.95
No position
Will LDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $792.29
Yes position
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $783.39
No position
Will Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $757.19
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $723.75
No position
Will CDP win the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $636.01
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $545.34
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.61
No position
Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $447.9
Alejandro Tabilo position
Madrid Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Royer
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.13
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.6
No position
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.31
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.06
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220
EDward Gaming position
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.3
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $204.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes 13% 17 shares
- Kash Patel out by June 30?No 84% 32 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 96.5% 120 shares
- Will Tyreek Hill play for the Buffalo Bills next?No 96.5% 12.45 shares
- Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?Yes 98.4% 129.63 shares
- Will José Soriano lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?Yes 3% 132 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes 9.7% 11 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes 7.9% 15 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?Yes 92% 844.5 shares
- Paris: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra SasnovichTalia Gibson 41% 368 shares
- Parma: Alycia Parks vs Mary StoianaMary Stoiana 34% 270.59 shares
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over 28% 17.47 shares