Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $204.49
- Potential payout
- $568.02
- Potential profit
- $363.53
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$301.28
Polymarket Trader
youga2017
@lukousea
0x83a18b3c9d5791de72a195e60531acc29431def9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $285.51
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $81.03
- Potential payout
- $274.67
- Potential profit
- $193.64
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$71.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.52
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.53
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- $145.03
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $105.05
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 22?
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?
Ends Oct 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 7?
Ends Oct 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.9
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will Zama launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 28?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on October 29?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the announcers say "History" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?No 7.1% 39 shares
- Will the announcers say "History" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?No 13% 161 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 43% 126 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 35% 5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 36.4% 156 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 37.6% 156 shares
- Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 98.9% 140.3 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 58% 113.36 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 58% 224.5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 56% 211 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 56% 100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 92.7% 90 shares