Polymarket Trader

0x83b5...e89e

0x83b5e1e4c940fc8cc6bc10deeb8e382098e8e89e

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $7.29
Realized PnL: $26.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will Clear Street Group Inc.'s market cap be less than $9.0B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.84
Potential profit: $2.84
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.78
Potential profit: $2.78
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $1.45
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

No position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Trump say "Clinton" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310-$315 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Caesars Entertainment (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Labcorp Holdings (LH) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by <5%?

Yes 64% 1.56 shares
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?

Yes 59.9% 1.67 shares
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

No 63% 1.59 shares
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Yes 57% 1.75 shares
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

No 34% 2.94 shares
Will Meta (META) close above $660 on March 3?

No 69% 1.45 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on March 2?

No 64% 1.56 shares
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on March 2?

Yes 41% 2.44 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 2?

Yes 73% 1.37 shares
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?

No 81% 1.23 shares
Will Sholdon Daniels be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?

No 24% 4.17 shares
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares