Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Polymarket Trader
0x83cf...9316
0x83cfe05258cf8f66b3f6b3c7d6d3047cebd29316
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $62.2
- Realized PnL
- -$1.58
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $13.19
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.56
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $8.55
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.4%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- Multiplier
- 3.52x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.32
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.07
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.73
- Multiplier
- 3.93x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
No position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 6 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 28.5% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 42.6% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 84% 10 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 93.2% 6 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 15% 9 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.5% 9 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.8% 8 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No 92% 15 shares
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 9% 20 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 80% 5 shares