Polymarket Trader

0x83E0957834bB9Da9FDEA01Db8D5b8f064d5392e0-1761529076078

0x83e0957834bb9da9fdea01db8d5b8f064d5392e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $420.29
Realized PnL: $224.81
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $374.11
Potential payout: $411.11
Potential profit: $37
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.11

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.18
Potential profit: $108.18
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.28
Potential profit: $17.28
User PnL: -$10.88

No position

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $12.24
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$5

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $12.48
Potential payout: $14.1
Potential profit: $1.62
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will the announcers say "Hat Trick" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump praise Allah by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $11.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.72
Potential profit: $10.72
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $10.29
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.18
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.28
Potential profit: $7.28
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 1.0%?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $3.53
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $77.71

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.73

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.24

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.92

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

No position

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

No position

Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will Trump say "N Word" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.47

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 90% 411.11 shares
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

No 96.6% 392.64 shares
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

No 75.5% 13.24 shares
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

No 73.6% 25.83 shares
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 92% 11.11 shares
Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

No 95.3% 20.44 shares
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

No 71.5% 83.94 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

No 98.2% 61.76 shares
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

No 33.9% 29.5 shares
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

No 91.9% 10.88 shares
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Yes 96.3% 10.59 shares
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

No 92% 10.87 shares