Polymarket Trader

0x83e72E0845040765D2c847258030AE227c674Aeb-1776596161299

0x83e72e0845040765d2c847258030ae227c674aeb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $195.62
Realized PnL: $310.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 78000?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325.45
Potential profit: $325.45
User PnL: -$53.5

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.36
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $69.13
Potential payout: $112.4
Potential profit: $43.28
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $11.17

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $57.09
Potential payout: $99.29
Potential profit: $42.2
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $8.44

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $49.06
Potential payout: $78.5
Potential profit: $29.44
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $10.06

Yes position

Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 79000?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.56
Potential profit: $64.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.65
Potential profit: $48.65
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.1%
Current value: $18.87
Potential payout: $47.1
Potential profit: $28.24
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.67
Potential profit: $46.67
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.34
Potential profit: $39.34
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $26.84
Potential profit: $25.86
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.04
Potential profit: $25.04
User PnL: -$11.62

No position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.75
Potential profit: $24.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.5
Potential profit: $23.5
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.82
Potential profit: $19.82
User PnL: -$8.8

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.99
Potential profit: $15.99
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.68
Potential profit: $14.68
User PnL: -$9.54

Yes position

Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.21
Potential profit: $13.21
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.75
Potential profit: $8.75
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.57

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.02

No position

Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.17

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.45

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.72

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.18

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.66

No position

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.24

No position

Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.04

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

No position

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will Trump post "ICE" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61

No position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 3, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 40.3% 47.1 shares
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 3.7% 26.84 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 80% 28.75 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

100% 23.55 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

37.5% 23.55 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 14% 61.7 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 49.7% 78.5 shares
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

No 47% 61.7 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 52% 63.46 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 94% 109.59 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 51% 48.94 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Yes 28.6% 93.02 shares