No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $98.41
- Potential payout
- $104.3
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Polymarket Trader
andonin
@MrEigh10ten
0x83f28393e831f2da35592775fd17f1034cb49279
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.41
- Realized PnL
- $23.43
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.3
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C or below on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.00 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes 93.4% 5.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes 93.9% 5.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes 93.7% 299.99 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?Yes 0.5% 40 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of June 22 2026?Yes 0.1% 200 shares
- Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?No 3% 55.43 shares
- Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)?No 6% 4.55 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 20 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No 21% 20 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 20 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?No 67% 20 shares
- Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?No 86% 20 shares