No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $445
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $555
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $5.08
Polymarket Trader
0x83FC28098FaA7c165b93D88e803f6A8150112bEd-1767794560044
0x83fc28098faa7c165b93d88e803f6a8150112bed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $457.48
- Realized PnL
- $3.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.1
- Potential profit
- $540.1
- User PnL
- -$135.03
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20
Natus Vincere position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$242.55
Yes position
X banned in U.K. by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$45
MOUZ position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $479.53
- Potential profit
- $479.53
- User PnL
- -$199.63
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$113
Yes position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$120
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308
- Potential profit
- $308
- User PnL
- -$11.65
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$21.9
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$162
Chicago State Cougars position
Chicago State Cougars vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $274.09
- Potential profit
- $274.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $243.94
- Potential profit
- $243.94
- User PnL
- -$15.86
No position
Will Trump say "Venezuela" 7+ times during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.99
- Potential profit
- $204.99
- User PnL
- -$87.05
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$42
No position
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142
- Potential profit
- $142
- User PnL
- -$92.68
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.31
- Potential profit
- $120.31
- User PnL
- -$26.47
Yes position
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$38.52
Yes position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.2
- Potential profit
- $76.2
- User PnL
- -$40.38
No position
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $74
- User PnL
- -$24.42
Yes position
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $12.48
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $51.52
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Over position
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $49.99
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$17.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372
Under position
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.6
No position
Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.57
No position
Will Trump say "Sanction" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.7
No position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.75
No position
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.3
MOUZ position
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.39
Yes position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.39
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Wizards
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
No position
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 1?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.56
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.59
No position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Under position
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.49
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Over position
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Under position
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.78
Yes position
Fight to Go the Distance?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Under position
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Over position
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Under position
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No 44% 1,000 shares
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5 AND Wimbledon WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova27.7% 882.23 shares
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes 21% 64 shares
- Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?Yes 15% 300 shares
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes 56% 5 shares
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver 58% 10 shares
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver 58% 10 shares
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes 30% 13.57 shares
- Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Yes 66% 5 shares
- Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?No 97.9% 642.62 shares
- Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?No 99% 442.62 shares
- Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?No 7.9% 200 shares