Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $85.16
- Potential payout
- $951.49
- Potential profit
- $866.33
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- -$29.84
Polymarket Trader
JayJay2048
0x8405b9001e61f2a3d3756a477ae24346134687fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $100.5
- Realized PnL
- $51.78
- Win rate
- 53.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $111
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.75
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.51
- Potential profit
- $46.51
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $31.38
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$4.83
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.83
- Potential profit
- $30.83
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.39
- Potential profit
- $21.39
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $9.51
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.69
- Potential profit
- $10.69
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.4%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $6.28
- Potential profit
- $5.38
- Multiplier
- 6.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $5.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.34
No position
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.72
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$21.75
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 11.63 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 3.1% 100.03 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 96.1% 1 shares
- Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?No 98.9% 1 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 16% 176.47 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 35% 5.71 shares
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes 35% 5.71 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes 17% 176.47 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 10% 100 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes 14% 14.28 shares