Polymarket Trader

0x8406B9B77E95908deC58933B9F87c77d455AB962-1762516841599

0x8406b9b77e95908dec58933b9f87c77d455ab962

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $444.41
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103K
Potential profit: $103K
User PnL: -$103

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.5K
User PnL: -$97.5

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $337.93
Potential profit: $337.93
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.83
Potential profit: $210.83
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.7
Potential profit: $167.7
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.87
Potential profit: $140.87
User PnL: -$71.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.3
Potential profit: $52.3
User PnL: -$23.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.05
Potential profit: $36.05
User PnL: -$9.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $516.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.54

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.37

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.5

Yes position

Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 18?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.23

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.8

Over position

France vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$268.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?

No 94% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?

No 79.7% 27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?

No 67.5% 89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?

No 99.9% 44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?

No 97.2% 44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?

No 94.6% 10 shares
France vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Over 49% 65.31 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 55% 36.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?

No 84% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 20?

No 95% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 18?

No 97% 10 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 16?

No 97% 10 shares