Polymarket Trader

wujiao

0x840a7216ae64ff43fdadb785adead79f90123dcf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $28.44
Realized PnL: $217.06
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.65
Potential profit: $140.65
User PnL: -$31.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.25
Potential profit: $84.25
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.51
Potential profit: $54.51
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.26
Potential profit: $45.26
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.43
Potential profit: $39.43
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.28
Potential profit: $38.28
User PnL: -$9.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.72
Potential profit: $30.72
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $5.17
Potential payout: $5.48
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $5.46
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $1
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $2.53
Potential payout: $3.51
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Diddy released from custody in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $2.14
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.09
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.31

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.64

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.77

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.15

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Colombia 46% 6.52 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 2.63 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 88% 2.27 shares
Diddy released from custody in 2026?

No 93.4% 2.14 shares
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?

Yes 86% 2.33 shares
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

Yes 57% 3.51 shares
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

No 94% 2.13 shares
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?

Yes 88% 2.27 shares
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?

Yes 97.8% 20.44 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 90% 5.56 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 57% 3.51 shares