Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$73.03
Polymarket Trader
pollytracker01
0x840fb8fb2453f03d0d21f66d1df213c9def33133
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.81
- Realized PnL
- $17.16
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $82.5
- Potential profit
- $82.5
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $4.11
- Potential payout
- $18.7
- Potential profit
- $14.58
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $4.39
- Potential profit
- $3.68
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 23% 18.7 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 2% 223.63 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 4.2% 223.64 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 10.9% 60.5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 10.8% 35 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 18% 56.55 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 60% 150 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 47% 10 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 58.8% 187.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown 8% 62.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown 20% 20 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2% 50 shares