Polymarket Trader

Bkz10

0x8425d3ca73eb9e05739a04cb805b6af146b858d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $131.02
Realized PnL: $95.24
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $23.19
Potential payout: $126.36
Potential profit: $103.18
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $5.19

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $31.56
Potential payout: $72.54
Potential profit: $40.99
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $27.43
Potential payout: $72.48
Potential profit: $45.04
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $25.78
Potential payout: $66.86
Potential profit: $41.09
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $10.68

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $7.78
Potential payout: $45.87
Potential profit: $38.1
Multiplier: 5.90x
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $7.03
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $9.87
Potential profit: $8.59
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $4.48
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$1.59

No position

Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $1.27
Potential payout: $2.59
Potential profit: $1.32
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

France position

Spread: France (-2.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

MIBR position

Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Over position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Alexander Bublik position

Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublik

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Under position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Under position

France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

100 Thieves position

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Gentle Mates position

Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $2.22

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Under position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Team Heretics position

Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 10.1% 9.87 shares
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

No 30% 3.33 shares
Will the announcers say "Gianni" or "Infantino" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 38.7% 2.59 shares
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Under 55% 5.45 shares
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Under 54.2% 5.53 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

62.4% 7.91 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.2% 3.93 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.2% 22.51 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 43% 26.51 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.2% 22.51 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 43% 26.51 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.6% 46.29 shares