Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $63.33
- Potential payout
- $666.66
- Potential profit
- $603.32
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$21.67
Polymarket Trader
0x93Cb9B55EBF411622b2c62fBd4bec5a18F91ef4E-1776198948574
0x8428f81ef7a86d5d088dd066538a552785be5187
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $91.26
- Realized PnL
- -$72.95
- Win rate
- 31.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $18.76
- Potential payout
- $543.88
- Potential profit
- $525.12
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$31.24
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $431.27
- Potential profit
- $426.31
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$45.04
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $35.8
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
Yes position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Yes position
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.96
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Yes position
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 166.67 shares
- Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes 9.2% 543.88 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 11.6% 431.27 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?Yes 7.2% 275.86 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 40 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 499.99 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 1.9% 525 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 62.1% 16.1 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 1.9% 520.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?Yes 13% 7.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 22?Yes 6.2% 16.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 22?Yes 1.2% 81.47 shares