No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.31K
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $307.23
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $307.23
Polymarket Trader
mysterygambler216
0x8429da7726f432117309651a774c60f5487d64bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.31K
- Realized PnL
- $2.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$85
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.59
- Potential profit
- $94.59
- User PnL
- -$35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.73
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.62
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.88
Yes position
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.27
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.8
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
No position
Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.41
Yes position
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.61
Yes position
Will egg prices be between $4.75-5.00 for January?
Ends Feb 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.88
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.55
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.76
No position
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.14
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.73
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.22
N
No position
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.69
No position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.44
Yes position
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.66
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.84
No position
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.47
N
No position
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.25
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.91
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.11
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 61% 81.97 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 37% 94.59 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes 51% 166.67 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes 77% 259.74 shares
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 89.6% 1,004.6 shares
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes 58.3% 188.66 shares
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 84% 178.57 shares
- Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 71.7% 139.47 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 90.3% 344.82 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 87% 344.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No 80% 500 shares
- Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?Yes 15.2% 525.89 shares