Team-of-clairvoyants

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $969.41
Potential profit: $969.41
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $947.3
Potential profit: $947.3
User PnL: -$27.77

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $59.74
Potential payout: $405
Potential profit: $345.27
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $49.73

Yes position

US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.69
Potential profit: $194.69
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180.49
Potential profit: $180.49
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $46.23
Potential payout: $151.56
Potential profit: $105.33
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$34.04

Michael Chandler position

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $100.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.89
Potential profit: $88.89
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.3
Potential profit: $83.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.51
Potential profit: $74.51
User PnL: -$38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET