Polymarket Trader

SirDaniel

0x842a65269863fd7d2de60d4ccd363a582cbaa742

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.5
Realized PnL: $2.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.56K
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will B8 win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$6.06

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7.5

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.78
Potential profit: $492.78
User PnL: -$312.59

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.51
Potential profit: $392.51
User PnL: -$235.13

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349
Potential profit: $349
User PnL: -$169.12

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299
Potential profit: $299
User PnL: -$269.1

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $298
Potential profit: $298
User PnL: -$107.28

Yes position

Will Team Falcons win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $295
User PnL: -$88

fnatic position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $283.26
Potential profit: $283.26
User PnL: -$135

Spirit position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.55
Potential profit: $208.55
User PnL: -$154

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$160

Sinners position

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$51.17

EYEBALLERS position

Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Ursa (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $169.98
Potential profit: $169.98
User PnL: -$101.99

Under position

AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.8
Potential profit: $167.8
User PnL: -$99

Fingers Crossed position

Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164
Potential profit: $164
User PnL: -$65.53

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$10.5

ALLINNERS position

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ALLINNERS - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $110 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.95

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Over position

Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.27

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.05

Yes position

Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.38

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.88

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.94

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.35

B8 position

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.84

Over position

FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.86

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.54

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.85

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.03

Over position

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.53

Monte position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.44

Over position

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

No position

Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE (BO3)

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9INE - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.22

Yes position

Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Yes 63% 60.32 shares
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner

Team Nemesis 79% 50.63 shares
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

60.8% 27.63 shares
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

BIG 58% 56.66 shares
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

BIG 59% 57.63 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner

MIBR 44% 11.36 shares
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

MIBR 64% 15.63 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?

Yes 33% 42.42 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 100 shares
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 90% 45 shares
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Yes 60% 85 shares