blongoh

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.42
Potential profit: $332.42
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $16.91
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $277.21
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $6.91

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $273.03
Potential profit: $273.03
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $8.35
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $183.96
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $103.65
Potential payout: $133.74
Potential profit: $30.09
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$8.86

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $10.73
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $122.6
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $6.22
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $110.06
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $16.84
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $98.1
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $6.84

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.83
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.18
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $8.87
Potential payout: $90.09
Potential profit: $81.22
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $89.85
Potential profit: $87.24
Multiplier: 34.48x
User PnL: -$7.39

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $55.79
Potential payout: $65.64
Potential profit: $9.85
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $15.79

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $8.99
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $55.94
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $10.98
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $48.54
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $51.71
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$14.57

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $18.68
Potential payout: $56.6
Potential profit: $37.92
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$11.32

No position

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $25.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $14.6
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.17
Potential profit: $28.17
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $26.73
Potential payout: $27.02
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $6.73

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.19

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.29

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.32

Yes position

Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.83

Yes position

Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

No position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.25

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

Will Kanye tweet again by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will a Justin Bieber song reach #1 this year?