Yes position
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.41
- Potential profit
- $65.41
- User PnL
- -$17
Polymarket Trader
ConeDesk
0x842c7f449501c437e068f620222beaea9b621fd3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $28.13
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" during Fox interview on Tuesday?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
Yes position
Will Coinbase's TBA app launch before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 11% 131.41 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.6% 83.7 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 10.5% 41.52 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes 8% 100 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Yes 5% 6.67 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 11% 42.18 shares
- U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?Yes 25.7% 19.46 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 13% 38.46 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes 40% 30.1 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 12% 13.83 shares
- U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?Yes 28% 21.43 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Yes 77% 6.68 shares