Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $11.89
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $29.11
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Polymarket Trader
0x844a...fc69
0x844aa527ebbc50d6bfe337499142ea9b0b36fc69
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $43.78
- Realized PnL
- -$1.77
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $8.37
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yes 14% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 5 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 86% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.8% 15 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 93.3% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 14 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 11 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 20% 7 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 81% 38 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 19% 17 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 17% 13 shares
- Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No 36% 8 shares