Polymarket Trader

cripes3

0x8454f39e7fa6957dfbf1ecc574820ada1c92331a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $60.94K
Realized PnL: $61.55K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.11K
Potential profit: $220.11K
User PnL: -$1.54K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$50

Under position

Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 139.5

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.02K
Potential profit: $23.02K
User PnL: -$10.53K

No position

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.5K
Potential profit: $16.5K
User PnL: -$13.84K

Carlos Alcaraz position

Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.83K
Potential profit: $15.83K
User PnL: -$3.51K

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.8%
Current value: $3.57K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $11.43K
Multiplier: 4.20x
User PnL: -$3.93K

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.2%
Current value: $11.43K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.57K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $3.93K

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $8.99K
Potential payout: $10.64K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $3.48K

No position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.34K
Potential profit: $10.34K
User PnL: -$9.16K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.2K
Potential profit: $10.2K
User PnL: -$8.51K

No position

Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.11K
Potential profit: $10.11K
User PnL: -$9.46K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.98K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: $105.01

VCU Rams position

VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.94K
Potential profit: $9.94K
User PnL: -$8.13K

Under position

CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.1K
Potential profit: $9.1K
User PnL: -$2.79K

No position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $8.53K
Potential payout: $8.64K
Potential profit: $107.99
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $5.91K
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $2.59K
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $472.69

Under position

High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 162.5

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.04K
Potential profit: $8.04K
User PnL: -$4.05K

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $7.49K
Potential payout: $7.54K
Potential profit: $52.77
User PnL: $524.49

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $7.45K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$2.44K

No position

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$6.99K

No position

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.96K
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$2.82K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33K

Over position

High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28K

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94K

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32K

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.94K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94K

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72K

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Under position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Carlos Alcaraz position

BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89K

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

No position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by June 30, 2026?

No 96.8% 534.9 shares
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 460.08 shares
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?

Yes 24% 79.2 shares
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

No 7.3% 3,000 shares
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 18% 49.44 shares
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes 4.3% 400 shares
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 58% 1,000 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Under 50% 3,595.74 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Over 51% 3,915.83 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 97% 1,414.39 shares
Spread: Norway (-2.5)

Iraq 65% 4,529.42 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

No 97.4% 15,547.5 shares