Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Polymarket Trader
0x845A8d2d0f603F45d1D9f0a5737596615C292fB5-1767698061532
0x845a8d2d0f603f45d1d9f0a5737596615c292fb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $171.92
- Realized PnL
- -$69.49
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660.88
- Potential profit
- $660.88
- User PnL
- -$165.22
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $171.92
- Potential payout
- $409.34
- Potential profit
- $237.42
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$13.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.19
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.54
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$339.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown 94.3% 944.91 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 31.6% 2,831.88 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 40.5% 2,831.88 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?Yes 40% 2,847.07 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 26% 4,381.96 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes 28% 4,381.96 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 61% 2,011.38 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 57% 2,011.39 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 45.2% 409.34 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 25% 660.88 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 45% 312.5 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 27% 185.19 shares