Yes position
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $311.62
- Potential payout
- $617.07
- Potential profit
- $305.45
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $5.83
Polymarket Trader
aa444
0x846988dd97915cc9a847e5ac435262322e55dab0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $411.15
- Realized PnL
- $30.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $44.71
- Potential payout
- $288.45
- Potential profit
- $243.74
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$15.61
Yes position
Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $54.82
- Potential payout
- $150.19
- Potential profit
- $95.37
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $25.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Aggressive" or "Aggression" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $23.71
Yes position
WHOOP IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $4.45
N
No position
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $2.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 37% 10 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 38% 11 shares
- Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes 19% 11.9 shares
- Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes 18% 20 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 37% 5 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 23% 20 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 26% 5 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 18% 68.79 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 26% 20 shares
- Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?Yes 18.4% 102.4 shares