Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.4
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Polymarket Trader
0x8472...c827
0x8472d6c82c93ebdfb2d694bb76c6a3dda513c827
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $45.09
- Realized PnL
- -$21.68
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.6%
- Current value
- $6.19
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $12.81
- Multiplier
- 3.07x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $12.23
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.77
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.73
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $2.97
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.27
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.43
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.6%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.23
- Multiplier
- 6.47x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SBF released from custody in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$21.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 70% 11 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?No 90% 5 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 93% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 42.9% 6 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 17% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 6 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?No 89% 6 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 19% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 48.5% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 51.5% 14 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 91.1% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 79.3% 7 shares