No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Polymarket Trader
0x847Ff626De0103975f31B78716156ae788873Eb6-1781624715874
0x847ff626de0103975f31b78716156ae788873eb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.95
- Realized PnL
- $94.07
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
Yes position
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.93
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.48
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Yes position
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 33% 21.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 26% 11 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 74% 40 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 86% 35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?Yes 20% 60 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 0.1% 41.67 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 10% 103.44 shares
- Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 29% 103.45 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 0.2% 79.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 12.7% 112 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 27% 112 shares