Polymarket Trader

Brd178

0x84944c23dfc8a61cfcecec4b551dc790dec0657d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.7
Realized PnL: $10.18
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.4
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.12
Potential profit: $3.12
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.44
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Down 15% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Up 45% 2.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Down 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Down 5% 20 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Up 27% 3.7 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Down 16% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Up 10% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Down 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 10% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Up 13% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Down 14% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Up 29% 3.45 shares