Polymarket Trader

Oracle99

0x84956098a279f4beaf85696f461e60d75241b6e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.54K
Realized PnL: $5.49K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $965.81
Potential payout: $24.45K
Potential profit: $23.49K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$34.48

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.45K
Potential payout: $22.81K
Potential profit: $18.37K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$4.55K

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $922.21
Potential payout: $22.77K
Potential profit: $21.85K
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$5.08K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $10.34K
Potential payout: $21.76K
Potential profit: $11.42K
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $334.9

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $281.67
Potential payout: $18.17K
Potential profit: $17.89K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$3.22K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $582.86
Potential payout: $6.86K
Potential profit: $6.27K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$2.42K

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $4.65
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.48
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85
Potential profit: $2.85
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76
Potential profit: $2.76
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97
Potential profit: $1.97
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69
Potential profit: $1.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.1
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.47K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $667.32

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $597.06

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.29

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.97

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.27

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$24.29

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30.77

Yes position

Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.65

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$38.81

Yes position

Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$81.62

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$81.99

Yes position

Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$87.35

Yes position

Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$88.74

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 0.03 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 0.25 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 1 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 2,173.91 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 0.05 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 0.1 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 0.4 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 0.5 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 2.5 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 0.3 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 0.8 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.9% 2 shares