gambler5000

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.02K
Potential profit: $9.02K
User PnL: -$2.35K

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.26K
Potential profit: $3.26K
User PnL: -$634.11

Yes position

Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Canada backs out of F-35 deal?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.73K
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Lucy Guo arrested before April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$146.53

Yes position

Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$215

Yes position

Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$420

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$349.11

Yes position

More Epstein files released in March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$230

Yes position

Will Republicans control 222 seats in the House after the election?

Ends Dec 17, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $972.23
Potential profit: $972.23
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $955.67
Potential profit: $955.67
User PnL: -$270

Yes position

Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $915
Potential profit: $915
User PnL: -$365.46

Yes position

Will egg prices be less than $5.00 in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $396.23
Potential payout: $754.72
Potential profit: $358.49
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$3.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his next speech?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $727.27
Potential profit: $727.27
User PnL: -$80

Yes position

Will Trump say the "N word" in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $652.3
Potential profit: $652.3
User PnL: -$159.75

Yes position

Will Meta reach $750 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $644.99
Potential profit: $644.99
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $576.92
Potential profit: $576.92
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $197.96
Potential payout: $408.16
Potential profit: $210.2
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$2.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.28K

Yes position

Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $382.45

Yes position

Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.92

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.99

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.05

Yes position

Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $256.8

Yes position

Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220

Yes position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $196.17

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.01

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $99.19

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.1

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 53.5%
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $56.16

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.17

Yes position

Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.02

Yes position

Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.07

Yes position

Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.33

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Yes position

Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Trump remove carried interest loophole before July?