Polymarket Trader

0x84a8...71dd

0x84a808fdb8bafb1f8e280c8e58246fc4ae3e71dd

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $91.54
Realized PnL: $156.45
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $357.15
Potential profit: $352.33
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $161.29
Potential profit: $156.21
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $70.5
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$4.07

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $7.11
Potential payout: $39.37
Potential profit: $32.26
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $2.11

Hurricanes position

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

No position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $7.92
Potential payout: $25.98
Potential profit: $18.06
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$2.08

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.2
Potential profit: $22.2
User PnL: -$10

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.73
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $11.73

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $18.89
Potential payout: $21.34
Potential profit: $2.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.84
Potential profit: $20.84
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.2
Potential profit: $17.2
User PnL: -$4.99

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $15.23
Potential payout: $15.5
Potential profit: $0.27
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.23

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $14.71
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.29
Potential profit: $11.29
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $5.31
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.31

Over position

Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.81
Potential profit: $7.81
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.58
Potential profit: $7.58
User PnL: -$5

Over position

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $7.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $4.52
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$0.48

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.53

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.13

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.45

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Under position

Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Over position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Over position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Over position

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Over position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Over position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.06

Over position

Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Over position

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Over position

Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Over position

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Over position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

Over position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Over position

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Over position

Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.4% 357.14 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 39.37 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 68% 7.35 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 56% 8.93 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 31% 13.15 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?

Up 46% 10.87 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?

Up 46% 10.87 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

No 81% 6.17 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 83% 6.02 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

No 47% 9.09 shares