Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $47.24
- Potential profit
- $43.23
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$15.98
Polymarket Trader
sailboats
@sailboatships
0x84a850d049f285c1c04a782ca4424dbf33c4ad8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.52
- Realized PnL
- $211.73
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.66
Yes position
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.88
Furman Paladins position
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-21.5)
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.75
Yes position
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 10+ times during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "fraud" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
No position
Will Trump say "Where are you" during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.25
Connecticut Huskies position
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.22
Yes position
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.1
St. Johns Red Storm position
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Furman Paladins position
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-20.5)
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
Yes position
Will Trump say "Trump" 3+ times during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14
Yes position
Will "War" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
Yes position
Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Villanova Wildcats position
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 42.3% 47.24 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 793.83 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 239.89 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 7% 616.78 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes 9% 149.33 shares
- Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes 14% 14.28 shares
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.7% 76.92 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.8% 185.18 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 33.9% 10 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 7.2% 58.13 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 520.39 shares