Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $236.26
- Potential profit
- $236.02
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.59
Polymarket Trader
0x84ab...3258
0x84ab480d1f83a8f7ad1eb2b7330b71fe858c3258
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $160.46
- Realized PnL
- $1.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $32.96
- Potential payout
- $153.29
- Potential profit
- $120.34
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$19.16
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $94.94
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.02
No position
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $41.6
- Potential payout
- $44.25
- Potential profit
- $2.66
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.2%
- Current value
- $30.57
- Potential payout
- $37.67
- Potential profit
- $7.1
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $36.26
- Potential profit
- $36.17
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $16.55
- Potential payout
- $16.77
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $13.78
- Potential payout
- $14.01
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $10.79
- Potential payout
- $11.66
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $4.86
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.09
- Potential profit
- $4.09
- User PnL
- -$2.35
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $1.73
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Oilers
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.19
Oleksiejczuk position
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.8
Rangers position
Rangers vs. Panthers
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145.72
Santos position
UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.64
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. 49ers
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.59
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Magic
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $55.53
Yes position
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.35
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.07
Yes position
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.49
Over position
Magic vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.71
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.23
Predators position
Predators vs. Flames
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.8
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.75
FunPlus Phoenix position
Valorant: Nova Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO1)
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.74
No position
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
Army position
Connecticut vs. Army
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.11
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.09
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.25
Kape position
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.56
Utah position
Utah vs. Penguins
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.55
Gen.G Esports position
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.3
Yes position
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74
Pacers position
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 2.5% 236.26 shares
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 665 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 665 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 2,090 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 650 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.2% 1,295 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.3% 6,196.67 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.3% 4,016.67 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.3% 1,033.33 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.3% 1,486.67 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.3% 556.67 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.3% 1,433.33 shares