Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $539.55
- Potential payout
- $43.16K
- Potential profit
- $42.62K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$237.57
Polymarket Trader
stu
0x84b0405daf1a56f7cda5720d1937fc03b22e5bc8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.22K
- Realized PnL
- $2.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $210.28
- Potential payout
- $12.74K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $26.53
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $120.13
- Potential payout
- $7.75K
- Potential profit
- $7.63K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$4.15
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $86.95
- Potential payout
- $3.7K
- Potential profit
- $3.61K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $81.88
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $9.38
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $11.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.3%
- Current value
- $313.87
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 4.30x
- User PnL
- -$12.91
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $14.66
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $396.58
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $942.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $57.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $80.65
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $12.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $987.5
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $847.21
- Potential payout
- $936.15
- Potential profit
- $88.93
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.84
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $559.99
- Potential profit
- $559.99
- User PnL
- -$199.9
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $339.66
- Potential payout
- $539.14
- Potential profit
- $199.48
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $108.4
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $20.44
- Potential payout
- $470.99
- Potential profit
- $450.55
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Bill Gates charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $359.08
- Potential payout
- $359.98
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $17.76
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $296.06
- Potential payout
- $310.01
- Potential profit
- $13.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $231.9
- Potential payout
- $245.39
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $19.85
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $190.16
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $149.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $124.15
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $17.25
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- User PnL
- $15.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $74
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $74.76
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $843.16
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $363.9
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $264.77
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.71
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.29
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $39.45
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.57
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Trump send the national guard to Los Angeles by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $20.1
No position
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
No position
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will Trump say "Cycling" or "Marathon" in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.65
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 85% 60 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 78% 50 shares
- Jimmy Lai released by June 30?No 98.8% 35.82 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 39% 50 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes 60% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 90.7% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 42% 100 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No 92.1% 250 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No 82.1% 375.31 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No 93.1% 100 shares
- Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No 93.1% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 86% 100 shares