Polymarket Trader

rfnoone

0x84c6c9f6eed47b4bb70bd9acf2c77a3c74e3c8c8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $120.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.9K
Potential profit: $27.9K
User PnL: -$3.13K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.65K
Potential profit: $26.65K
User PnL: -$4.47K

Yes position

Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.5K
Potential profit: $22.5K
User PnL: -$4.37K

Yes position

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.9K
Potential profit: $10.9K
User PnL: -$3.9K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.39K
Potential profit: $7.39K
User PnL: -$4.56K

Yes position

Will Israel carry out an airstrike on the West Bank by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$393.63

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.65K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Yes position

Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $2.05K
User PnL: -$327.36

Yes position

Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.03
Potential profit: $196.03
User PnL: -$151.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.7K

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.87K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.39K

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.38K

No position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.39K

Yes position

TikTok on App Store again before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95K

Yes position

Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17K

Yes position

Will Trudeau resign Today?

Ends Jan 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.03K

Yes position

Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

No position

Ripple above $2.40 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Yes position

Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will Neymar leave Al-Hilal?

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $967.74

Yes position

Israel strikes Syria by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.79

Yes position

Trudeau resigns before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $808

No position

Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $788.34

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682.85

Yes position

Assad leaves Syria before 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $613.77

Yes position

Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.84

No position

Netanyahu out in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $453.55

No position

Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $413.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Yes 99% 19,749.58 shares
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Yes 17.5% 158.63 shares
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?

Yes 19.3% 733.98 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Yes 36% 1,229.59 shares
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

Yes 34% 333.64 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 37% 14,999 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 36% 12,222.82 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?

Yes 12.7% 5,459 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?

Yes 11% 1,334.82 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?

Yes 14% 23 shares
Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?

Yes 17% 2,278 shares
Will ICC withdraw its arrest warrant against Netanyahu before July?

Yes 16% 3,000 shares